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New Study: ‘Global Drought Shows No Detectable Recent Acceleration Under Climate Warming’

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By on 17. September 2026

Another climate-related “crisis” narrative is sapped by observational evidence.

A new study published in a Nature journal finds no acceleration (even a slightly negative acceleration, -0.0003 to -0.00005 yr⁻²) in global-scale drought trends in the modern era of “global warming”.

The zero-acceleration (or slightly declining) trend in global drought appears in Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) observations across 125-year (1900-2024), 75-year (1950-2024), and even the most recent 43-year (1981-2024) records.

Scientists who prefer to advance the narrative that human activity is driving warming, and climate warming accelerates global drought, have historically used negligent statistical methods to “artificially inflate” drying trends six-fold.

Image Source: Wu et al., 2026

A 2022 study that analyzed global annual precipitation trends from 1900 to 2020 also found “no evidence…to show that there has been any increase in precipitation deficits in recent decades that might be attributable to global warming.”

Image Source: O’Connell et al., 2022

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